Our InsiderAdvantage poll debuted exclusively last night on Fox News’ Hannity.  The poll involved 550 likely voters and was conducted Sunday, October 16th with a margin of error of 4.2%.

Cross-tabs can be found HERE

Results:

U.S. Senate

Raphael Warnock (D): 46%
Herschel Walker (R): 44%
Chase Oliver (Libertarian): 4%
Undecided: 6%

Governor

Brian Kemp (R): 50%
Stacey Abrams (D): 43%
Shane Hazel (Libertarian): 2%
Undecided: 5%

InsiderAdvantage Chairman Matt Towery’s takeaways from cross-tabs:

U.S. Senate: 

* Walker has narrowed the race by a point in one week.
* Warnock has not received above 46% in any recent InsiderAdvantage poll of the race.
* Walker increased his share of the African American vote by 8 points in one week.
* Warnock continues to have a large lead among women voters and Walker a substantial lead among men.
* Republican voters now unified behind Walker.

“I don’t see Warnock as an incumbent who is under 47% winning this on election day,” says Towery. “If Walker were to keep rising at his current pace it is conceivable he could win outright given the lift Kemp is giving Republicans, (Kemp leads Abrams 50% to 43%). The most likely result if Walker keeps rising is a runoff. Incumbents don’t win runoffs in Georgia.”

Governor:

* Kemp leads in every age demographic.
* Kemp has 66% of the white vote and 17% of the African American vote.
* Abrams has suddenly become a weight for the Warnock campaign which could have serious ramifications for the November vote.

Towery: “Absent an 11th hour political lightning strike, Kemp appears headed for a resounding re-election.”

Also, in InsiderAdvantage’s first survey in the Georgia lt. governor’s race:

Burt Jones (R): 46%
Charlie Bailey (D): 41%
Ryan Graham (Libertarian): 4%
Undecided: 9%

Towery: “Jones looks likely to win without a runoff as of now.”